piplups wrote:OH MAN this was great. though lkafjsldkfja did the maf seriously target lux the previous night to clear her? because that's... brilliant.
So the plan I cooked up last night is that I was going to claim that I had noticed it was very risky and/or impossible for town to win, assuming alca wasn't a miller (which I tried to make fairly convincing; I had quotes lined up to use against Lucas, since I had already decided I needed to scum him and Gerry up the most). As in:
If mafia got a NK, ratio dropped to 5:5 (which meant my hints about mechanics related to mafia needing to outnumber or be equal to town, since it was never specified in the rules, and for the record it was actually outnumber). At that point, if lulu was lynched it'd go to 5T:4M; NK leads to 4T:4M; Cure gets lynched for 4T:3M; NK brings it to 3T:3M. At this point, Angel would take two phases to lynch given that we knew she was lynchproof via your own comments, meaning town would fall below mafia's numbers and lose.
So I tried to make myself seem like I was subtly suggesting I had something favorable lined up, without being so obtuse that people would go "but why outright paint a target on your head". This way I could justify a NK on me because earlier piplups was gunned during the night for talking about her role.
I then sent this message to Sammiya:
- doki:
A-ah! Sammiya-chan! I am no senpai! Eek!
Would that I could take the time to shower you with some lovely and pretty stories of the moon and her grace and beauty, and the simple delights of the woodland realm, but alas I must be a bit serious and to the point for this message!
I have vaguely alluded to it in thread, but the thing I want to check with Sensei relates to whether or not mafia needs to outnumber or equal to town in numbers. If they get a NK off tonight, they'll be at 5:5 assuming no miller, so we might get our answer then. Otherwise, if they have to outnumber... worst-case scenario of a NK tonight and angelstar being mafia (which I think is very likely), then if piplups' information is accurate and angelstar has a lynchproof, it would take us two phases to successfully lynch her... at which point I think town would just automatically lose due to the numbers.
So... I claimed this to Ninfia in relationship messages earlier, but I have a limited ability to render protection over myself with fae magic. I plan to use it tonight and I'm hoping the vague comments in thread might get the mafia to direct the NK onto me. It's a bit of a gamble, but I'm worried we'd just lose due to math otherwise. I'm also hoping I'm reading mafia correctly considering they seemed to impulsively try to kill piplups that one night, so... maybe.
At any rate, given how the game developed and your reactions in thread, I trust you and will help you as best I can if you need something from me. My current reads are obviously Cure, lulu, and angelstar, but I'm also suspicious of Lucas. My read on Lucas is a bit back-and-forth because this is kind of in his character and piplups didn't seem alarmed by his role, but I don't like how he keeps making contradictions, among some other points I'll bring up in thread if it comes to it. Assuming there's no miller, my best guess for the fifth would have to be Gerry, since he's been a bit all over the place and his role could easily be fabricated with the knowledge of mafia. He's lower on the reads, and for all I know, Minji might be the last mafia instead, as some others have suggested/speculated. I would find Minji's role unusual for a mafia to have, though. If we can prove there is a miller, this is less of a concern.
Um... ;w; I guess that's all I have to share for now. I don't know how much this helps you, but hopefully it's better than nothing.
The PM covers the reasoning I would have employed for wanting to try to lure a NK onto me. This comes with the unsaid clear of, "Why on earth would maf waste a NK on themselves when they are about to have a gun and might immediately win?"
Angel sent the NK on me, I used Ninfia's hide (we had originally planned for angel to NK me when it got down to 2 mafia left, and I'd use my role ability... but then I stole Ninfia's hide). We chose to do it then because it'd delay the amount of time until town realized there was a miller (by at least another day phase), giving more time to sow seeds of doubt.
THE PLAN WAS QUITE INVOLVED, YOU SEE. Cure did most of the legwork. This was, for the most part, decided about a week ago when we realized our only chance, since everyone suspected Cure, lulu, angel, and alca, was for me to be the last man standing.
My only regret is that I never got to use Tiki's ability.
I still hate being mafia. Never again, please. Twice is enough.
Edit: Final three were projected to be Lucas, Sammiya, and myself, with me NKing Sammiya. We were going to use Tiki's role ability to wrest deo away from Lucas before killing him, and then kill Pocha and then Gerry after that, all depending on which player got hit by the bomb.
Edit: I KNOW TOWN MIGHT NOT CARE, but seriously so much planning that now never sees the light of day. I
just wanted you all to appreciate it.