So let's talk about some things.
The Night 0 pass orderI'm pretty sure that
I was the spiker. That means #9 is the number we're not sure is safe. For what it's worth, I'm somewhat inclined to believe #9 is town anyway, because based on conversation in thread, it seemed likely that at least one of the cleared town would pass to #9, and so if #9 were maf, passing to a clear town in hopes that they pass to #9 would be a good way to get them out.
Night kill targetsI'm assuming mafia thought this through because mafia had the whole night to think about it, and it only took us a little bit on D1 to puzzle this out as a thread, but the highest chance of taking someone out is for mafia to serve to them. That way, it's the ~30% chance of them passing to maf, rather than crossing your fingers and praying the ball ends up bouncing around to some good target. Even if mafia didn't figure this out on N0, we discussed this on D1, so unless all of mafia is AFK/skimming/not paying attention, then they should've figured this out by N1 at least.
Naturally, mafia could have just fired randomly, and if they did there's no use speculating about it, but I'm going to go forward assuming mafia put at least some thought into their target.
Given that I just claimed probably spiker, there are two options for who the original NK target could be, and both are players that I feel that players from vdex (which is chinomi, Aeiou, and I guess ezz but ezz just flipped town) wouldn't target. If anyone wants to play Sherlock and figure out the exact order based on the info given, go for it, but I will neither confirm nor deny.
On Ezzelin and SammieSammie claimed to have passed to ezzelin, iirc, so we have:
Ezzelin -> maf
Sammie -> Ezzelin -> maf
??? -> Sammie -> Ezzelin (not spiker)
as the possible options for what could've happened last night, unless someone else also passed to #2.
I feel like mafia's priority is taking out the clears, and from an above point we discussed how the best way to take out a target is to serve to them, so I'm wondering if (Kiyo/Lux/Rasei) -> Sammie -> Ezzelin is the route the ball took. If this is the case, then Sammie is either #9 or #3.
On Aeiou and chinomiThey've both kind of indicated that they wanted to keep each other alive to continue playing with one another because they're friends, and I do accept this as a valid reason not to vote one another, however if that was the actual reason I'm kind of wondering why they both weren't more upfront about it.
On Lucas and drandahlI'm not even 100% sure it's guaranteed that at least one of them is maf, but since a Tiki/chinomi/Aeiou/Entelechy mafia makes zero sense unless mafia is yolo'ing the game (which is also possible), then there's a really, really high chance that at least one of them is maf anyway.
Since Lucas voted Aeiou (and broke a tie between Aeiou and Tiki in favor of lynching Aeiou), if Aeiou flips town, there's a high likelihood of Lucas being mafia.
I vaguely remember drandahl being around near the end of D1, correct me if I'm wrong, which means he had the ability to switch votes to Tiki/Aeiou. I'm going to break this down further.
I think a town!drandahl would be content to let the tie between Aeiou and Tiki stand, which is basically what happened.
If Aeiou is town, then maf!drandahl would have incentive to vote Aeiou, especially since for a long while at the end of the phase, it was a tie between the two.
If Aeiou is maf, then maf!drandahl I think would've dropped a vote on chinomi, unless we have this really specific scenario where Tiki, Aeiou, chinomi and drandahl are all maf together (which... does actually fit the criteria of mafia that I currently have in my head.)
On today's lynchWhile my main focus right now is drandahl/Lucas, I've kind of set up this scenario in my head where if Aeiou is town then Lucas is maf, and if Aeiou is maf then Lucas is possibly town, and Tiki/drandahl/chinomi/Aeiou is a possible mafia quartet. So I guess tl;dr, I would be content to lynch Aeiou, not because I'm certain Aeiou is maf, but because it reveals a lot about the other players.